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Lop Nur nuclear blast radius

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Lop Nur was China’s nuclear test ground. This page uses a 21 kt analog for the early test class, not a full list of Chinese yields.

Open Lop Nur in the 3D simulator

Educational estimate only. Blast and heat rings use simplified yield scaling. They ignore terrain, weather, shielding, and weapon design. Casualty counts use WorldPop 2020 residents on an approximately 1 km grid and ignore time of day, commuting, shelter, and evacuation. This is not a targeting or civil-defense tool. About the model.

Aim point: Lop Nur nuclear test site, Xinjiang · Weapon: Fat Man (21 kt, 607 m (1,991 ft) optimum airburst)

Ground ranges for Fat Man (21 kt, 607 m (1,991 ft) optimum airburst) in this simulator.
Effect Ground range What the model means
Fireball 304 m (998 ft) Maximum luminous radius
20 psi 938 m (3,078 ft) Heavy destruction
5 psi 2.0 km (1.3 mi) Most buildings collapse
Thermal 2.3 km (1.4 mi) 3rd-degree burns
1 psi 4.7 km (2.9 mi) Windows shatter
Rings scaled to 1 psi. Yellow fireball, red 20 psi, orange 5 psi, gold thermal, blue 1 psi. Not a map of buildings.

Casualty estimate at this pin

People on the WorldPop 2020 grid inside this scenario’s 1 psi ring. Rounded educational estimate, not a forecast.
Estimated deaths 1
Estimated injuries 3
Residents inside 1 psi 10

What the rings cover

Rings sit on desert basin around the test ground. 1 psi does not cover a coastal megacity. Casualty estimates stay low because the grid is empty, not because the yield is harmless.

China’s first test in 1964 was in the 20 kt class. Fat Man is the named yield this globe already has at that scale. Later tests here included thermonuclear shots; use Castle Bravo or Tsar Bomba on this pin in the simulator if you want megaton rings.

The desert siting is the same logic as Nevada and Semipalatinsk: keep the WorldPop grid empty. That does not erase later environmental and health debates around the range.

This is an educational pin, not a targeting page for any city in Xinjiang.

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