NukeSimulation.com
City scenario
Manila nuclear blast radius
Last updated
Metro Manila is a dense coastal agglomeration. This 15 kt airburst sits on the City of Manila core. The rings are local; the metro is not.
Open Manila in the 3D simulator
Educational estimate only. Blast and heat rings use simplified yield scaling. They ignore terrain, weather, shielding, and weapon design. Casualty counts use WorldPop 2020 residents on an approximately 1 km grid and ignore time of day, commuting, shelter, and evacuation. This is not a targeting or civil-defense tool. About the model.
| Effect | Ground range | What the model means |
|---|---|---|
| Fireball | 266 m (872 ft) | Maximum luminous radius |
| 20 psi | 839 m (2,751 ft) | Heavy destruction |
| 5 psi | 1.8 km (1.1 mi) | Most buildings collapse |
| Thermal | 2.0 km (1.3 mi) | 3rd-degree burns |
| 1 psi | 4.2 km (2.6 mi) | Windows shatter |
Casualty estimate at this pin
| Estimated deaths | 206,592 |
|---|---|
| Estimated injuries | 530,849 |
| Residents inside 1 psi | 1,915,399 |
What the rings cover
Inner rings sit on the Manila core and nearby districts. 5 psi covers a substantial share of the city proper relative to its footprint. 1 psi can reach neighbouring cities in the metro and still leave most of Luzon’s urban belt outside the model.
The pin aims at the packed city core rather than at a bay centroid. High WorldPop counts here come from continuous urban fabric, not from a special weapon.
Like Mumbai and Hong Kong, water bounds one side of the mental map. The model does not stop rings at the bay; it also does not flood or storm-surge.
Compare Manila with Dhaka and Lagos if you are trying to understand density rather than geopolitics. The physics table is the same 15 kt airburst on every city page in this series.
Related pages
Dhaka · Hong Kong · Mumbai · Singapore
All cities and sites
City index · Historic sites · Weapon yields
Open the simulator · How the numbers work · FAQ · Privacy · Terms · support@nukesimulation.com