City scenario
Mexico City nuclear blast radius
Last updated
Mexico City is a high-altitude, high-density capital. This scenario is a 15 kt airburst over the Zócalo, the old lake-bed core, not a map of the whole Valley of Mexico.
Open Mexico City in the 3D simulator
Educational estimate only. Blast and heat rings use simplified yield scaling. They ignore terrain, weather, shielding, and weapon design. Casualty counts use WorldPop 2020 residents on an approximately 1 km grid and ignore time of day, commuting, shelter, and evacuation. This is not a targeting or civil-defense tool. About the model.
| Effect | Ground range | What the model means |
|---|---|---|
| Fireball | 266 m (872 ft) | Maximum luminous radius |
| 20 psi | 839 m (2,751 ft) | Heavy destruction |
| 5 psi | 1.8 km (1.1 mi) | Most buildings collapse |
| Thermal | 2.0 km (1.3 mi) | 3rd-degree burns |
| 1 psi | 4.2 km (2.6 mi) | Windows shatter |
Casualty estimate at this pin
| Estimated deaths | 111,026 |
|---|---|
| Estimated injuries | 264,050 |
| Residents inside 1 psi | 926,555 |
What the rings cover
Heavy-destruction rings stay in and around the historic centre. 5 psi and thermal reach into neighbouring central colonias. 1 psi remains small compared with the greater metropolitan area that climbs the valley walls.
The preset aims at the historic centre rather than at Santa Fe or the airport. That puts the inner rings on a packed grid of housing, markets, and civic buildings, which is what the WorldPop cells will register.
The metro sprawls across the valley. A Hiroshima-scale 1 psi ring is a small disk on that sprawl. The educational value is seeing how ‘15 kt’ feels in a city that is both vast and locally extremely dense.
Burst height in this default is the tool’s optimum airburst for 5 psi, not a historically Mexican scenario. There is no historic combat burst here; the page exists so the globe has an indexable Mexico City URL.
Related pages
São Paulo · Los Angeles · New York · Cairo
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