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City scenario

São Paulo nuclear blast radius

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São Paulo is a vast inland metro. A 15 kt airburst over the Sé core is downtown-scale. The rings do not map the whole municipality, let alone the surrounding cities.

Open São Paulo in the 3D simulator

Educational estimate only. Blast and heat rings use simplified yield scaling. They ignore terrain, weather, shielding, and weapon design. Casualty counts use WorldPop 2020 residents on an approximately 1 km grid and ignore time of day, commuting, shelter, and evacuation. This is not a targeting or civil-defense tool. About the model.

Aim point: Praça da Sé / historic centre · Weapon: Little Boy (15 kt, 543 m (1,780 ft) optimum airburst)

Ground ranges for Little Boy (15 kt, 543 m (1,780 ft) optimum airburst) in this simulator.
Effect Ground range What the model means
Fireball 266 m (872 ft) Maximum luminous radius
20 psi 839 m (2,751 ft) Heavy destruction
5 psi 1.8 km (1.1 mi) Most buildings collapse
Thermal 2.0 km (1.3 mi) 3rd-degree burns
1 psi 4.2 km (2.6 mi) Windows shatter
Rings scaled to 1 psi. Yellow fireball, red 20 psi, orange 5 psi, gold thermal, blue 1 psi. Not a map of buildings.

Casualty estimate at this pin

People on the WorldPop 2020 grid inside this scenario’s 1 psi ring. Rounded educational estimate, not a forecast.
Estimated deaths 129,389
Estimated injuries 228,961
Residents inside 1 psi 782,216

What the rings cover

Inner rings sit on the Sé and neighbouring centro districts. 5 psi covers a slice of the old centre. 1 psi reaches into nearby zonas and still leaves most of the metro’s municipalities outside window-breakage.

The preset sits on the historic centre, a dense mix of civic buildings, commerce, and housing, rather than on Avenida Paulista’s office ridge or a peripheral reservoir.

Brazilian metros are horizontal. The same Little Boy yield that looks large inside Paris looks small on São Paulo’s map. That comparison is the reason this city is in the index.

Open the simulator to drag the burst onto Paulista or Guarulhos. This page stays on one pin so the WorldPop line has a stable URL.

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